MPP数据并行FORTRAN汇编代码模拟环境的设计与实现

本文阐述了一种在单机上模拟ＭＰＰ机执行并行汇编代码的方法。这种并行汇编代码由ＭＰＰＦＯＲＴＲＡＮ编译器生成。由于在一个大型工程中，编译生成的目标代码运行环境不一定能及时具备，所以，研制汇编代码模拟环境ＤＰＦＡＳ有助于及早验证编译目标代码的正确性和完备性。本文通过共享进程组在ＳＧＩ工作站上实现多机环境模拟和远程地址访问模拟。此模拟环境的实现对ＭＰＰ数据并行ＦＯＲＴＲＡＮ编译器的正确性验证和效率评估有一定的帮助。     

Minimizing the false alarm rate in systems with transient abnormality

We consider a stochastic partially observable system that can switch between a normal state and a transient abnormal state before entering a persistent abnormal state. Only the persistent abnormal state requires alarms. The transient and persistent abnormal states may be similar in appearance, which can result in excess false alarms. We propose a partially observable Markov decision process model to minimize the false alarm rate, subject to a given upper bound on the expected alarm delay time. The cost parameter is treated as the Lagrange multiplier, which can be estimated from the bound of the alarm delay. We show that the optimal policy has a control‐limit structure on the probability of persistent abnormality, and derive closed‐form bounds for the control limit and present an algorithm to specify the Lagrange multiplier. We also study a specialized model where the transient and persistent abnormal states have the same observation distribution, in which case an intuitive “watchful‐waiting” policy is optimal. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 320–334, 2016     

Bayesian enhanced decision making for deteriorating repairable systems with preventive maintenance

Since a system and its components usually deteriorate with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to restore or keep the function of a system in a good state. Furthermore, PM is capable of improving the health condition of the system and thus prolongs its effective age. There has been a vast amount of research to find optimal PM policies for deteriorating repairable systems. However, such decisions involve numerous uncertainties and the analyses are typically difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data. It is therefore important to make use of all information in an efficient way. In this article, a Bayesian decision model is developed to determine the optimal number of PM actions for systems which are maintained according to a periodic PM policy. A non‐homogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deteriorating behavior of the repairable system. It is assumed that the status of the system after a PM is somewhere between as good as new for a perfect repair and as good as old for a minimal repair, and for failures between two preventive maintenances, the system undergoes minimal repairs. Finally, a numerical example is given and the results of the proposed approach are discussed after performing sensitivity analysis. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于ARIS的战时修理业务流程仿真研究

利用ARIS建模方法与工具，对战时装备修理业务流程进行了仿真研究。以陆军某机步师某型装备为例，给出了战时修理业务的主流程模型以及各分支模型，通过仿真运行及结果分析，得出了制约该流程的瓶颈和需要进一步优化的对象，为装备维修保障过程仿真提供了一个很好的思路和方法。该方法对于开发战时维修保障效能仿真评估系统，实现维修保障系统的动态仿真和全要素评估具有重要的支撑作用。     

基于CFP模型的装备系统能力开发方法

基于系统能力的装备系统开发能够使装备发展更好地适应未来战争。首先建立系统能力-功能-性能(简称CFP)概念模型,进一步定性分析系统能力与性能参数之间的映射关系。然后提出了在n维参数空间进行影射关系函数轨迹拟合的方法,定量地描述系统能力与性能参数之间的映射关系,建立CFP模型。最后以简例演示基于CFP模型进行定量系统能力开发的方法。     

基于资源平衡的分布式星群网络连接接入策略

针对现有卫星网络接入策略未能充分考虑卫星资源以及合理确定卫星资源权重问题,提出了一种基于资源平衡的星群网络连接接入策略。该策略充分考虑卫星的多种资源建立卫星资源评价模型,利用移动代理技术,采用层次分析法和熵值法计算各卫星资源的主观和客观权重,并通过Kullback散度权重优化方法对主客观权重进行平衡处理,判决过程兼顾了卫星的综合性能水平和用户偏好,提高了接入的准确性和合理性。仿真结果表明,采用该接入策略,有效改善了新呼叫阻塞率和强制中断率。     

基于线对线突然短路的同步电机瞬态参数辨识

准确地辨识同步电机参数,是分析电力系统运行和控制系统设计的前提.利用最小二乘或卡尔曼滤波等方法辨识电机三相同时突然短路试验数据,是传统电机参数辨识的主要方式.受同步电机三相同时突然短路的可操作性和电机参数模型的强非线性等因素的影响,电机瞬态参数难以准确测量.利用改进的小波变换和人工神经元网络辨识参数的新方法,结合容易实现的同步电机线对线突然短路试验,辨识得到了三相同步电机的瞬态参数,有效提高了电机参数的辨识精度.仿真试验表明,该方法是有效的.     

AHP及其在潜艇作战指挥上的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便的、实用的多准则决策分析方法.在对传统的AHP进行概述的基础上,针对其在实际应用中存在的问题,介绍了国内外几种经典的综合及改进的层次分析法,并建立了较为完备的潜艇作战指挥效能的评价体系和模糊综合评价模型,对潜艇的作战指挥效能进行了综合的定量分析和计算.最后展望了AHP在潜艇作战指挥上的应用前景,并对各种AHP进行了比较.     

信息网络作战技术

信息战是现代战争中重要作战样式,网络战是信息战的重要组成部分,分布式、网络化的计算机系统是信息作战中实施攻击与防护首要作战目标。根据网络作战的需求,从技术角度出发,首先对网络战的要素组成进行了分析,在此基础上将网络战划分为两个阶段,并对此进行了深入研究,最后提出了实施网络战的方法与步骤。     

杂散参数对串联型磁脉冲压缩器输出特性影响*

使用电路模拟软件(P-Spice)分析了脉冲电容器自身电感、磁开关绕组匝间电容以及磁芯处于不同工作状态时,磁开关绕组自身阻抗等杂散参数对串联型磁脉冲压缩器输出特性的影响。结果表明,匝间电容和磁芯处于未饱和状态下的绕组自身电阻对系统的输出特性影响相对较小;磁芯处于饱和状态时,绕组自身阻抗对系统的电压传输效率影响较大;脉冲电容器的自身电感不仅会降低系统的电压传递效率,同时会影响到输出脉冲上升沿的宽度。基于以上的结论,对单级串联型磁脉冲压缩器进行了优化设计并研制了一台输出峰值电压26kV,脉冲上升时间由4.1us压缩到1.2us的串联型磁脉冲压缩器,电压传输效率大于92.5%。